BREAKING: 2027: Atiku Will Take Most Votes From The North, And Obi Will Take Most Votes From The South — Ogun

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Former member of the House of Representatives, Sergius Ogun, has offered his assessment of Nigeria’s evolving political landscape ahead of the 2027 general elections, predicting that former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and former Labour Party presidential candidate Peter Obi are likely to maintain dominant electoral influence in different regions of the country.

Ogun made the comments during an interview on SYMFONI TV on Wednesday, May 27, 2026, where he discussed voter behaviour, regional political loyalties, and the shifting alliances that are expected to shape the next presidential contest.

In his analysis, the former lawmaker examined the strengths of major opposition figures and how Nigeria’s long-standing regional voting patterns could continue to play a decisive role in determining electoral outcomes. He argued that while national politics is evolving, regional identity and political history still strongly influence how votes are distributed across the country.

According to him, Atiku Abubakar is likely to maintain a stronghold in northern Nigeria due to his long-established political networks, influence within party structures, and years of active participation in national politics. He noted that the former vice president has spent decades building relationships with key political stakeholders across the North, making him a consistent and recognizable figure in the region’s political equation.

Speaking on this, Ogun said:

“Atiku will take most votes from the North, and Peter Obi will take most votes from the South.”

He further emphasized that Atiku’s political machinery in the North remains deeply rooted, pointing out that his presence in multiple election cycles has helped him maintain relevance and loyalty among a significant section of the electorate.

“Whether people like it or not, Atiku still has a strong political structure in the North and that cannot be ignored in any serious electoral calculation,” he said.

On Peter Obi, Ogun highlighted the former Anambra State governor’s growing appeal in southern Nigeria, particularly among young people, professionals, and urban voters. He explained that Obi’s political messaging, which focuses on governance, accountability, and economic reform, has continued to resonate strongly since the 2023 presidential election.

According to him, Obi has managed to sustain a strong emotional and political connection with a large segment of southern voters who remain enthusiastic about his leadership style and public engagement.

“Peter Obi has maintained a strong emotional and political connection with many people in the South, especially the youths,” Ogun stated.

Ogun also noted that while both Atiku and Obi may command significant regional support, the 2027 presidential election could become highly competitive if opposition figures are able to form strategic alliances and extend their influence beyond their traditional strongholds.

He stressed that Nigeria’s political environment increasingly demands national appeal rather than reliance on regional or ethnic voting bases. According to him, any candidate hoping to win the presidency must build bridges across geopolitical zones and appeal to a broad spectrum of voters.

“The reality is that any candidate who wants to become president must find a way to appeal to Nigerians across different regions and interests,” he added.

Ogun concluded by warning that while regional dominance may provide a strong foundation, it is not sufficient on its own to guarantee electoral victory in a diverse and highly competitive political system like Nigeria’s.